Scottish Football: Four Matches to Go

Since I wrote this crude simulation of the remainder of the Scottish Premiership (top half only), I thought I'd indicate where things stand after the first set of post-split fixtures:

1. Celtic 99.6% Rangers 0.2% Aberdeen 0.2%
2. Rangers 49.9% Aberdeen 39.0% Hibs 10.7% Celtic 0.4%
3. Aberdeen 39.2% Rangers 35.8% Hibs 24.8% Kilmarnock 1.1%
4. Hibs 61.9% Aberdeen 21.5% Rangers 13.9% Kilmarnock 2.6% 
5. Kilmarnock 96.0% Hibs 2.6% Hearts 1.2% Rangers 0.1% Aberdeen 0.1%
6. Hearts 98.8% Kilmarnock 1.2%

So basically, by beating Celtic, Hibs all but assured itself of a European slot assuming Celtic win the Cup. Kilmarnock all but played itself out of Europe, and Aberdeen and Rangers stayed on track for the two slots not dependent on the Cup outcome.